Tactical voting

Scunthorpe

Our tactical voting recommendation in Scunthorpe:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Scunthorpe?

Scunthorpe is usually a Labour seat but went Conservative in 1979, 1983 and 2019. Latest polling shows Labour with a comfortable lead over the Conservatives in Scunthorpe. However, the size of Labour’s lead depends on the division of the right wing vote between the Conservatives and Reform UK who are also strong challengers. Of the progressive parties, only Labour is treating Scunthorpe as a target seat.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Scunthorpe?

It looks like Scunthorpe is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Scunthorpe

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 32.69%
Labour 47.96%
Liberal Democrats 5.30%
Reform 8.25%
Green 3.90%
Other 1.79%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Scunthorpe?

39%

What's happened in Scunthorpe

Energy Bills

54%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

79,502

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

200,562

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 14

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

1h 4m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 25m 57s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

6,225

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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