Tactical voting

South Derbyshire

Our tactical voting recommendation in South Derbyshire:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in South Derbyshire?

Labour demonstrated its ability to win in South Derbyshire by gaining the local council in 2023. Latest polling confirms that message, with Labour having a solid lead over the Conservatives. However, polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections, and the Conservatives will be looking to squeeze the Reform UK vote. There is no room for complacency among opponents of the Conservatives.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting South Derbyshire?

It looks like South Derbyshire is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for South Derbyshire

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 36.70%
Labour 42.36%
Liberal Democrats 6.99%
Reform 7.83%
Green 4.68%
Other 1.36%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in South Derbyshire?

31%

What's happened in South Derbyshire

Energy Bills

54%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

67,078

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

172,680

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 14

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

1h 4m 42s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 25m 57s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

7,890

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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