Tactical voting
Southampton Itchen
Our tactical voting recommendation in Southampton Itchen:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Southampton Itchen?
If Labour fails to win this seat and seats like it, the Conservatives are back in power. The Conservatives remain competitive in local government elections in Southampton Itchen, with only a 2-point Labour lead in May 2024. However, the latest polling shows that when people are thinking about a general election Labour’s lead is more comfortable than that. Polling and local elections are both clear that this is a two-party contest between Conservative and Labour; no other party is treating it as a target seat.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Southampton Itchen?
It looks like Southampton Itchen is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Southampton Itchen
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
29.10%
Labour
46.46%
Liberal Democrats
8.72%
Reform
8.67%
Green
5.35%
Other
1.54%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Southampton Itchen?
38%
What's happened in Southampton Itchen
Energy Bills
57%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
128,488
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)349,400
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 20
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
34m 5s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 10m 48s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
29,540
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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