Tactical voting

Stockton West

Our tactical voting recommendation in Stockton West:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Stockton West?

Stockton West is the successor seat to the previous marginal seat of Stockton South. Labour gained Stockton South in 2017 but lost it again in 2019. Latest polling shows Labour comfortably ahead of the Conservatives in this constituency, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections, and the Conservative vote was still strong in the Tees Valley mayoral election in May 2024. The careful voter may well decide that making sure the Conservatives lose this seat is the priority, particularly as the Tories will be trying to squeeze the Reform UK vote.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Stockton West?

It looks like Stockton West is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Stockton West

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 28.27%
Labour 56.22%
Liberal Democrats 3.82%
Reform 7.32%
Green 2.23%
Other 1.92%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Stockton West?

33%

What's happened in Stockton West

Energy Bills

57%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

65,177

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

154,403

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

48m 44s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 10m 24s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

1,507

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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