Tactical voting

Stoke-on-Trent Central

Our tactical voting recommendation in Stoke-on-Trent Central:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Stoke-on-Trent Central?

Stoke-on-Trent Central constituency is altered in the boundary changes, taking in some territory including Fenton from Stoke South. The previous constituency was a surprise Conservative gain from Labour in the 2019 election. Latest polling shows Labour well ahead of the Conservatives in this constituency, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections. No other party regards it as a target seat.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Stoke-on-Trent Central?

It looks like Stoke-on-Trent Central is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Stoke-on-Trent Central

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 27.24%
Labour 52.36%
Liberal Democrats 6.13%
Reform 9.82%
Green 2.76%
Other 1.58%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Stoke-on-Trent Central?

37%

What's happened in Stoke-on-Trent Central

Energy Bills

50%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

121,048

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

278,230

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

23m 29s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 29m 5s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

24,003

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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