Tactical voting

Thornbury and Yate

Our tactical voting recommendation in Thornbury and Yate:
Vote Lib Dem

Why vote Lib Dem in Thornbury and Yate?

Current polling shows that the Liberal Democrats are pulling ahead of the Conservatives in this seat. Labour are in third place and are not targeting the seat, neither is the Green Party. The best way to stop the Conservatives winning here is to vote Liberal Democrat.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Thornbury and Yate

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 34.86%
Labour 30.56%
Liberal Democrats 23.67%
Reform 7.73%
Green 2.12%
Other 0.93%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Thornbury and Yate?

36%

What's happened in Thornbury and Yate

Energy Bills

57%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

122,383

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

247,850

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

59m 15s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 31m 47s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

12,507

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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