Tactical voting

Thurrock

Our tactical voting recommendation in Thurrock:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Thurrock?

Thurrock was held by Labour from 1992 to 2010 before it went Conservative with the change of national government. The Conservatives were well ahead in the 2019 election. It is Labour’s 128th target seat from the Conservatives, making it one of the seats that will decide whether there is a majority Labour government. Latest polling shows Labour with a lead over the Conservatives in this constituency, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections. No other party regards it as a target seat, and given the current polling voting other than for Labour risks letting the Conservatives in.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Thurrock?

It looks like Thurrock is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Thurrock

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 33.64%
Labour 44.57%
Liberal Democrats 5.80%
Reform 9.39%
Green 4.50%
Other 2.00%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Thurrock?

38%

What's happened in Thurrock

Energy Bills

62%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

127,027

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

324,477

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

52m 23s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 40m 3s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

19,936

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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