Tactical voting

Truro and Falmouth

Our tactical voting recommendation in Truro and Falmouth:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Truro and Falmouth?

Truro and Falmouth has emerged in recent elections as a Labour target seat. It has been represented by a Conservative since it was created in boundary changes in 2010. Latest polling shows Labour comfortably ahead of the Conservatives in this constituency, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections. Labour’s lead has also fluctuated, being somewhat smaller in polls over the last few months. No party other than Labour is treating Truro and Falmouth as a target seat. Voters in Truro and Falmouth, according to our polling research, are particularly interested in tactical voting to get rid of the Conservative government.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Truro and Falmouth?

It looks like Truro and Falmouth is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Truro and Falmouth

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 28.45%
Labour 46.39%
Liberal Democrats 9.09%
Reform 6.41%
Green 6.76%
Other 2.69%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Truro and Falmouth?

48%

What's happened in Truro and Falmouth

Energy Bills

44%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

122,383

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

247,850

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 50

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

59m 15s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 31m 47s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

12,507

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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