Tactical voting

Welwyn Hatfield

Our tactical voting recommendation in Welwyn Hatfield:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Welwyn Hatfield?

Welwyn Hatfield often votes for the party that has had the largest share of the vote in England, making it one of a select number of ‘bellwether’ constituencies. It is therefore one of the seats that will determine whether Labour can form a stable government. Both Labour and the Lib Dems are active in local elections in Welwyn Hatfield and voters seem to be adept at casting an effective vote for whichever party is best placed to defeat the Conservatives. In the 2024 local elections Labour were slightly ahead of the Conservatives across the constituency, with the Lib Dems in third. Current polling is close between the Conservatives and Labour. Neither the Lib Dems nor the Greens regard Welwyn Hatfield as a target seat. Their supporters can cast an effective vote by thinking tactically.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Welwyn Hatfield?

It looks like Welwyn Hatfield is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Welwyn Hatfield

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 33.17%
Labour 43.09%
Liberal Democrats 10.88%
Reform 6.47%
Green 4.38%
Other 1.88%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Welwyn Hatfield?

39%

What's happened in Welwyn Hatfield

Energy Bills

48%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

127,027

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

324,477

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 5

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Ambulance Wait Times

52m 23s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)

1h 40m 3s

Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)

Housing

19,936

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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