Tactical voting
Winchester
Our tactical voting recommendation in Winchester:
Vote Lib Dem
Why vote Lib Dem in Winchester?
Winchester was a Lib Dem seat from 1997 to 2010 and remains competitive with the Conservatives. In 2019, the Lib Dems were close behind, making it the 15th most vulnerable Conservative seat to a Lib Dem challenge. No other party targets Winchester. Recent polling shows the Lib Dems leading significantly, matching the May 2024 local election results. Although party support has fluctuated, the Lib Dems are now ahead, with the Conservatives second. A high proportion of voters in Winchester are prepared to vote tactically for a change of government.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Winchester?
It looks like Winchester is a Liberal Democrats target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Winchester
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
30.51%
Labour
24.23%
Liberal Democrats
34.67%
Reform
7.25%
Green
2.55%
Other
0.67%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Winchester?
41%
What's happened in Winchester
Energy Bills
57%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
128,488
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)349,400
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 33
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Ambulance Wait Times
34m 5s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2018)1h 10m 48s
Time in which 90% of emergency calls are responded to (November 2023)
Source: NHS England (November 2018 - 2023)
Housing
29,540
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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