Tactical voting
North Ayrshire and Arran
Our tactical voting recommendation in North Ayrshire and Arran:
Vote with your heart
Why vote with your heart in North Ayrshire and Arran?
Tactical voting isn’t necessary in all seats, and we want as many people to be able to vote for the party they think represents their values at this election. We haven’t made a recommendation here because the polling suggests the Conservatives can't win here. This means this seat is safe and you can vote for the party you want to.
Polling: Voting Intention for North Ayrshire and Arran
MRP polling by Survation:
Conservative
17.07%
Labour
30.39%
Liberal Democrats
4.24%
Reform
5.36%
Green
3.14%
SNP
38.03%
Other
1.75%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in North Ayrshire and Arran?
42%
What's happened in North Ayrshire and Arran
Energy Bills
46%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
98,519
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)173,531
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Housing
16,420
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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