Tactical voting

Bridgend

Our tactical voting recommendation in Bridgend:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Bridgend?

Bridgend constituency was gained by the Conservatives in the 2019 general election. The constituency is affected by boundary changes - an area north of the M4 comes in from the previous Ogmore seat - but its political composition remains that of a constituency where the Tories have a slender majority over Labour. It is 27th on Labour’s target list of Conservative seats, making it a must-win for Labour if the Tories are to be displaced from power. Latest polling shows Labour well ahead of the Conservatives in this constituency and no other party regards it as a target seat.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Bridgend?

It looks like Bridgend is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Bridgend

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 20.98%
Labour 51.92%
Liberal Democrats 5.31%
Reform 10.97%
Green 2.24%
Plaid Cymru 7.55%
Other 0.99%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Bridgend?

37%

What's happened in Bridgend

Energy Bills

54%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

65,616

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

100,362

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 25

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Housing

12,537

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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