Tactical voting
Mid and South Pembrokeshire
Our tactical voting recommendation in Mid and South Pembrokeshire:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Mid and South Pembrokeshire?
Mid and South Pembrokeshire is a new constituency that is made from parts of the previous Preseli Pembrokeshire and Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire seats. It is the sort of seat that will decide which party is the largest in the House of Commons. Latest polling shows Labour ahead of the Conservatives in Mid and South Pembrokeshire, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections. Radical boundary changes also mean that the constituency is harder to assess than most. No party other than Labour regards it as a target seat.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Mid and South Pembrokeshire?
It looks like Mid and South Pembrokeshire is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Mid and South Pembrokeshire
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
25.33%
Labour
46.48%
Liberal Democrats
3.78%
Reform
12.39%
Green
1.75%
Plaid Cymru
9.54%
Other
0.68%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Mid and South Pembrokeshire?
38%
What's happened in Mid and South Pembrokeshire
Energy Bills
49%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
65,616
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)100,362
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 10
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Housing
12,537
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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