Tactical voting
Monmouthshire
Our tactical voting recommendation in Monmouthshire:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Monmouthshire?
Monmouthshire is the successor to the previous Monmouth constituency. It has been held by the Conservatives since 2005 but was Labour in 1997 and 2001. It is therefore one of the seats that will make the difference to Labour’s ability to form a government. Latest polling shows Labour clearly ahead of the Conservatives in Monmouthshire, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Monmouthshire?
It looks like Monmouthshire is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Monmouthshire
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
26.13%
Labour
47.10%
Liberal Democrats
5.84%
Reform
13.41%
Green
1.64%
Plaid Cymru
4.62%
Other
1.21%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Monmouthshire?
37%
What's happened in Monmouthshire
Energy Bills
54%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
65,616
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)100,362
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 10
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Housing
12,537
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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