Tactical voting

Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr

Our tactical voting recommendation in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr:
Vote Labour

Why vote Labour in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr?

Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr is a new constituency that is successor to the previous Montgomeryshire, a Conservative seat since 2010, with the addition of territory from the previous Clwyd South seat that was a Conservative gain from Labour in 2019. Latest polling shows Labour neck and neck with the Conservatives. It is a constituency where a tactical vote for Labour can inflict a severe defeat on the Conservatives.

Tactical voting decision based on

Current MP
Polling
Local factors

Which parties look like they are targeting Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr?

It looks like Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr is a Labour target seat.

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About our data

Polling: Voting Intention for Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr

MRP polling by Survation:

Selector of different research dates
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative 26.95%
Labour 39.36%
Liberal Democrats 12.67%
Reform 15.12%
Green 1.05%
Plaid Cymru 3.07%
Other 1.71%
Updated: 15 June 20:20

Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.

How many people intend to vote tactically in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr?

36%

What's happened in Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr

Energy Bills

56%

Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)

Food Banks (Local)

65,616

visits (April 2017 - March 2018)

100,362

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Food Banks (Great Britain)

40,898

visits (April 2009 - March 2010)

2,986,203

visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)

Justice

1 in 10

robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)

Housing

12,537

people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)

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