Tactical voting
Vale of Glamorgan
Our tactical voting recommendation in Vale of Glamorgan:
Vote Labour
Why vote Labour in Vale of Glamorgan?
Vale of Glamorgan is a marginal constituency that has changed hands between the Conservatives and Labour in 1989, 1992, 1997 and 2010. The constituency remains very closely contested between the two main parties; on the new boundaries it is Labour’s 21st target from the Conservatives, making it a must-win for Labour if the Tories are to be displaced from power. Latest polling shows Labour ahead of the Conservatives in Vale of Glamorgan, but polls have tightened during campaigns before and been in error in some previous elections.
Tactical voting decision based on
Current MP
Polling
Local factors
Which parties look like they are targeting Vale of Glamorgan?
It looks like Vale of Glamorgan is a Labour target seat.
Polling: Voting Intention for Vale of Glamorgan
MRP polling by Survation:
30 Mar
04 Jun
15 Jun
Conservative
28.02%
Labour
54.72%
Liberal Democrats
3.63%
Reform
5.18%
Green
6.07%
Plaid Cymru
0.12%
Other
2.22%
Updated: 15 June 20:20
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
Remember, polling data alone should not be used for tactical voting. It's important to consider local factors and which party holds the seat.
How many people intend to vote tactically in Vale of Glamorgan?
39%
What's happened in Vale of Glamorgan
Energy Bills
60%
Percentage of constituents who are worried about not being able to pay their energy bills in the next year
Source: Survation MRP for 38 Degrees (February 2023)
Food Banks (Local)
65,616
visits (April 2017 - March 2018)100,362
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Food Banks (Great Britain)
40,898
visits (April 2009 - March 2010)2,986,203
visits (April 2022 - March 2023)
Source: Trussell Trust (April 2023)
Justice
1 in 25
robberies, burglaries, and other thefts solved in your constabulary (June 2019 - June 2022)
Source: Home Office (2019 - 2022)
Housing
12,537
people are estimated to be homeless in your region
Source: Shelter (December 2023)
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